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Alpha Inc. is currently trading at 31.25 times forward earnings (for fiscal year 2004) of $0.64 per share. Analysts are also forecasting eps of $0.74
Alpha Inc. is currently trading at 31.25 times forward earnings (for fiscal year 2004) of $0.64 per share. Analysts are also forecasting eps of $0.74 for 2005. Given that Book value of shareholders equity (from the 2003 balance sheet) is $28,029 million and Shares outstanding is 6,998 million
The firm pays no dividends. Use a cost of equity capital of 9% in all calculations.
- calculate Alphas book value per share. Then calculate the price-to-book ratio at which Alphas shares are currently trading.
- Forecast residual earnings (RE) for 2004 and 2005 from the analysts forecasts.
- Given the market accepts the analysts forecasts for 2004 and 2005, what is the markets implicit forecast of growth in residual earnings for 2006 and beyond?(Hint: what is growth rate?)
- What eps is the market forecasting for 2006?
- From the eps forecasts you now have for 2004-2006, calculate expected abnormal earnings growth (AEG) for 2005 and 2006.
- What abnormal earnings growth rate is implied by the current market price for years after 2006?
- Show that expected abnormal earnings growth (AEG) for 2005 and 2006 is equal to the change in residual earnings for those years.
- What cum-dividend growth rates in earnings per share is the market forecasting for 2005 and 2006?
- Based on your analysis, would you buy a Alpha share at 31.25 times forward earnings? Qualify you answer as much as you wish.
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