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Alpha3 = Delta3 = Period Actual Demand A_t Exponentially-Smoothed Forecast F_t Exponentially-Smoothed Trend T_t Forecast Including Trend FIT_t 1 563 538.0000 23.0000 2 623 3

Alpha3 = Delta3 =
Period Actual Demand A_t Exponentially-Smoothed Forecast F_t Exponentially-Smoothed Trend T_t Forecast Including Trend FIT_t
1 563 538.0000 23.0000
2 623
3 613
4 625
5 668
6 703
7 643
8 760
9 752
10 767
11 775
12 818
13 798
14 782
15 862
16 911
17 940
18 932
19 961
20 1045
21 938
22 991
23 1023
24 1059
25 1116
26 1154
27 1166
28 1072
29 1177
30 1223
31 1500
32 1551
33 1597
34 1612
35 1595
36 1748
37 1654
38 1815
39 1675
40 1835
41 1886
42 1775
43 1960
44 2010
45 1954
46 1981
47 2087
48 1954
49
a. Use F_1=538, T_1=23, =0.1, and =0.2 and double-exponential smoothing to prepare a forecast for period 49.

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