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Alpha3 = Delta3 = Period Actual Demand A_t Exponentially-Smoothed Forecast F_t Exponentially-Smoothed Trend T_t Forecast Including Trend FIT_t 1 563 538.0000 23.0000 2 623 3
Alpha3 = | Delta3 = | |||||||
Period | Actual Demand A_t | Exponentially-Smoothed Forecast F_t | Exponentially-Smoothed Trend T_t | Forecast Including Trend FIT_t | ||||
1 | 563 | 538.0000 | 23.0000 | |||||
2 | 623 | |||||||
3 | 613 | |||||||
4 | 625 | |||||||
5 | 668 | |||||||
6 | 703 | |||||||
7 | 643 | |||||||
8 | 760 | |||||||
9 | 752 | |||||||
10 | 767 | |||||||
11 | 775 | |||||||
12 | 818 | |||||||
13 | 798 | |||||||
14 | 782 | |||||||
15 | 862 | |||||||
16 | 911 | |||||||
17 | 940 | |||||||
18 | 932 | |||||||
19 | 961 | |||||||
20 | 1045 | |||||||
21 | 938 | |||||||
22 | 991 | |||||||
23 | 1023 | |||||||
24 | 1059 | |||||||
25 | 1116 | |||||||
26 | 1154 | |||||||
27 | 1166 | |||||||
28 | 1072 | |||||||
29 | 1177 | |||||||
30 | 1223 | |||||||
31 | 1500 | |||||||
32 | 1551 | |||||||
33 | 1597 | |||||||
34 | 1612 | |||||||
35 | 1595 | |||||||
36 | 1748 | |||||||
37 | 1654 | |||||||
38 | 1815 | |||||||
39 | 1675 | |||||||
40 | 1835 | |||||||
41 | 1886 | |||||||
42 | 1775 | |||||||
43 | 1960 | |||||||
44 | 2010 | |||||||
45 | 1954 | |||||||
46 | 1981 | |||||||
47 | 2087 | |||||||
48 | 1954 | |||||||
49 | ||||||||
a. Use F_1=538, T_1=23, =0.1, and =0.2 and double-exponential smoothing to prepare a forecast for period 49. |
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