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An analyst estimates that a stock has the following probabilities of return depending on the state of the economy; State of economy Probability of economic
An analyst estimates that a stock has the following probabilities of return depending on the state of the economy;
State of economy | Probability of economic state | Return (%) |
Bull | 0.3 | 71.7% |
Normal | 0.5 | 28.1% |
Bear | 0.2 | 4.9% |
The T-Bill rate is currently 3.5%, and the expected rate of return of the JSE ALSI is 18.9%. Assuming that the CAPM holds, calculate the of the stock.
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