An article of faith among Democratic Party strategists (and a source of apprehension among Republican strategists) is that high voter turnouts help Democratic candidates. Why should this be the case? According to the conventional wisdom, Democratic electorates are less likely to vote than are Republican voters. Thus, low turnouts favour Republican candidates. As turnouts push higher, the reasoning goes, a larger number of potential Democratic voters will go to the polls, creating a better opportunity for Democratic candidates. Therefore, as turnouts go up, so should the Democratic percentage of the vote. Use the bi variate regression analysis to test this conventional wisdom.21 The states dataset contains vep20.turnout, the percentage of the state voting-eligible population that turned out to vote in the 2020 presidential election. This is the independent variable. Another variable, biden2020, is the percentage of the vote cast for Democratic candidate Joe Biden. (Note: biden2020 is measured in proportions so you should multiply it by 100 to get percentages.) This is the dependent variable.

Use bi variate regression analysis to examine the relationship between voter turnout and Joe Biden’s vote share. Complete the below table.

	Coefficient	Standard Error	t-Ratio	P-value
% Voter Turnout
Constant Turn

N	Coefficient
R-squared
Adjusted R-squared