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An economist wishes to study the monthly trend in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA). Data collected over the past 40 months were used to
An economist wishes to study the monthly trend in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA). Data collected over the past 40 months were used to fit the model E(Yt) =0+1t, where y=monthly close of the DJIA and t=month(1,2,3,...40). The regression results appear below: = 88 + 0.25t R2= 0.37 MSE = 144 F = 4.25 Durbin-Watson d = 0.96 Use the value of the Durbin-Watson test statistic to make a statement about autocorrelation of residuals in the regression model above. Question 34 options: Approximately 98.5% of the residuals lie within 2 standard deviations of their mean 0. There is sufficient evidence (using = 0.05) to indicate that positive autocorrelation exists. Since the value lies in the inconclusive region (using = 0.05), we need more information before a definite conclusion can be drawn. There is insufficient evidence (using = 0.05) to indicate that positive autocorrelation exists
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