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An investment has a predicted return following the probability distribution shown below. Answer questions (a) through (e) based on this information. Scenario # Probability Return

  1. An investment has a predicted return following the probability distribution shown below. Answer questions (a) through (e) based on this information.

Scenario #

Probability

Return

A

0.01

-80%

B

0.02

-50%

C

0.03

-30%

D

0.04

-10%

E

0.05

0%

F

0.1

5%

G

0.75

15%

  1. What is the 1% value at risk (VaR) of this investment?
  2. What is the 3% value at risk (VaR) of this investment?
  3. What is the 10% value at risk (VaR) of this investment?
  4. What is the 15% value at risk (VaR) of this investment?
  5. Rank your answers in questions (a) to (d). What can you conclude?

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