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An investor has $ 1 0 0 , 0 0 0 available for 1 - year investment. The investor is weighing two options: a money

An investor has $100,000 available for 1-year investment. The investor is weighing two options: a money market fund that gives a fixed annual return of 12% and an investment plan with an annual rate of return that can be regarded as a random variable with values that depend on prevailing economic conditions. Based on the second plan's past history under a variety of economic conditions, a very reliable analyst has subjectively determined the following probabilities associated with several possible rates of return:
\table[[Rate of Return,Probability],[0.3,0.20],[0.25,0.20],[0.20,0.30],[0.15,0.10],[0.10,0.10],[0.05,0.10]]
a) Can the above table be regarded as a table which provides a probability distribution of the rate of return? If yes, why?
b) Which investment plan should be selected, if the choice is to be made on the expected rate of return? Show work.
c) If you chose option 2, what is the probability that the rate of return will be less than that of the first option? Show work.
d) Suppose there were a third investment plan with return rates and associated probabilities as follows:
\table[[Rate of Return,Probability],[0.23,0.40],[0.20,0.40],[0.18,0.10],[0.10,0.10]]
Between the second and the third investment plans, which should be selected? Explain carefully and show work.
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