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An investor is considering 4 investments, A, B, C and leaving his money in the bank. The payoff from each investment is a function of

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An investor is considering 4 investments, A, B, C and leaving his money in the bank. The payoff from each investment is a function of the economic climate over the next 2 years. The economy can expand or decline. The following payoff matrix has been developed for the decision problem. The investor has estimated the probability of a declining economy at 70% and an expanding economy at 30%. A B C D 1 Payoff Matrix 2 3 Economy 4 Investment Decline Expand EMV 5 -10 90 B 20 50 7 40 45 8 Bank 15 20 9 0.3 10 0.7 Probability 5 -10 90 6 B 20 50 7 40 45 8 Bank 15 20 9 10 Probability 0.7 0.3 Payoffs What decision should be made according to the expected monetary value decision rule? B O Bank

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