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An IT firmcan submita bid for Project1 or Project2. ForProject1, thereis a 30% chancethatthefirmwill winthecontract,which is estimatedto be$500,000in profits. Thereis,however,70% probabilitythatitwillnot winthecontract for Project1. Inthiscase,thefirmfirstinvests$150,000and
An IT firmcan submita bid for Project1 or Project2.
ForProject1, thereis a 30% chancethatthefirmwill winthecontract,which is
estimatedto be$500,000in profits. Thereis,however,70% probabilitythatitwillnot
winthecontract for Project1. Inthiscase,thefirmfirstinvests$150,000and then
getszero reimbursementsforthisinvestment.
ForProject2, thereis a 40% probabilitythatthefirmwill gain $100,000,a25%
the probabilitythatitwill lose$70,000,and a 35%probabilitythatit willlose $15,000.
Based on theEMVanalysis,which of theprojects should thefirmbid on?
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