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An offshore oil Company has discovered new oil reserves of 70 million barrels where the cost of developing these reserves is approximately $430 million. The

An offshore oil Company has discovered new oil reserves of 70 million barrels where the cost of developing these reserves is approximately $430 million. The company has the right to exploit these reserves for the next 20 years. The development lag is 3 years. The current price and production costs are $60/barrel and $30/barrel, respectively. The cost of delay is 4% p.a, the risk-free rate is 10% p.a; the variance in oil prices is 0.04. What is the probability that the option will pay off? (Hint. You should calculate N(d2))

a.

0.3210

b.

0.2310

c.

0.9896

d.

0.9993

e.

none of the above

If the free cash flow is $100, net interest income is $50, dividends are $150, the firms treasurer will:

a.

Raise new debt (increase borrowing)

b.

Buy additional debt securities (increase lending)

c.

Do nothing

d.

Pay more dividends

e.

Reduce existing debt (reduce borrowing)

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