Question
Annualized interest rates in the U.S. and Australia are 2% and 9%, respectively. The Australian dollar is worth $0.67. (a) What is the expected one-year
Annualized interest rates in the U.S. and Australia are 2% and 9%, respectively. The Australian dollar is worth $0.67.
(a) What is the expected one-year exchange rate under no-arbitrage?
(b) Does approximate UIP predict an appreciation or depreciation of the U.S. dollar? Verify that answer a) is qualitatively correct.
(c) What is the one-year forward rate under no-arbitrage?
(d) Verify that UFR holds.
(e) Assume the inflation rate is 2% in the United States. What is the inflation rate in Australia under no-arbitrage?
(f) Does approximate PPP predict an appreciation or depreciation of the U.S. dollar? Verify that answer f) is consistent with answer b) and answer e).
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