Any help is appreciated

The following are sales data for 20 periods of a firm and three different forecast methods and associated information. The three method are unknown and are called M1, M2, and M3 respectively. A B C D E F G H J K Forecast M1 Forecast M2 Forecast V13 Time Sales ErrorM1 Error M2 Error M3 44.8 44.8 0 44.8 14 2 58.1 44.8 13.36 58.32 13.76 58.8 -0.69 0.69 3 58.4 48.8 9.62 62.49 8.97 72.08 -13.69 13.69 4 97.7 53.75 43.97 51.6 46.07 89.84 18.16 71.46 26.26 26.26 UT 129.5 71.4 58.13 65.5 64.07 123.07 25.7 BOL 21.54 21.54 110.5 95.21 15.25 34.7 25.77 121.95 12.29 148.77 -38.31 38.31 142.9 112.57 30.31 92.4 50.46 140.29 15.31 134.24 8.64 8.64 8 146.4 127.63 18.73 107.6 38.8 149.13 12.08 155.6 -9.25 9.25 9 174 133.23 40.79 119.2 54.83 170.18 16.56 161.21 12.82 12.82 10 174.6 154.42 20.13 135.6 38.91 178.21 12.3 186.75 -12.19 12.19 11 187.9 164.98 22.88 147.3 40.54 188.65 11.37 190.51 -2.65 2.65 12 201.2 178.81 22.42 159.5 41.76 200.87 11.79 200.02 1.21 1.21 13 204.8 187.88 16.88 172 32.76 207.14 9.03 212.67 -7.9 7.9 14 233.5 197.95 35.54 181.8 51.66 228.3 15.09 216.17 17.33 17.33 15 228.3 213.17 15.1 197.3 30.93 232.8 9.8 243.39 -15.13 15.13 16 246 222.18 23.82 206.6 39.38 244.98 10.99 242.6 3.39 3.39 17 266 235.92 30.08 218.4 47.57 262.99 14.5 255.96 10.03 10.03 18 280.8 246.75 34.01 232.7 48.07 279.78 15.65 277.49 3.28 3.28 19 289.9 264.25 25.68 247.1 42.82 291.58 13.72 295.43 -5.49 5.49 20 288 278.9 9.14 260 28.08 293.22 7.68 305.31 -17.26 17.26 21 286.25 268.4 300.91 27.23 37.76 -0.95 11.95 Method 2 is likely to be? [Press CTRL and "-" to see the whole table by reducing the font size. Press CTRL and "+" to restore the font size]Select one: 0 a. A Simple Exponential Smoothing model with alpha : 0.3 O b. An Adaptive Response Rate Exponential Smoothing (ARRSES) model 0 c. A 4 period Moving Average 0 d. A Simple Exponential Smoothing model with alpha : 0.2 0 e. A 3 period Moving Average