Anyone who wishes to register for a new vehicle in Singapore must first obtain a Certificate of Entitlement (COE). The COE represents a right to vehicle ownership and use of the limited road space for 10 years. Table 4-1 shows the 2019 - 2020 COE price for Category B, which is for cars above 1600cc.

Table 4-1

(a) Compute the forecasted COE price for the July 2020 using 3-Month and 4-Month

2019	COE Price ($)	2020	COE Price ($)
July	39936	January	37109
August	40001	February	30890
September	36001	March	32801
October	41361	April	30008
November	40009	May	31186
December	36000	June	30808

Moving Average.

(8 marks)

(b) Compare the two (2) forecasting methods and discuss which forecasting method is preferred, based on actual and forecasted COE prices from November 2019 to

June 2020. Show your workings.

(7 marks)

(c) Illustrate how forecasting techniques could be used by the authority to aid their decision making in managing the COVID-19 outbreak in the community. [Note: This question is independent of Question 4(a) and Question 4(b).]