Question
Apple Inc., dividends per share (DPS) YearValueDPSt or Terminal value (TVt)Calculation Present value at 13.14% 0DPS01 3.00 1DPS14.00= 3.00 (1 + 33.43%) 3.54 2DPS25.13= 4.00
Apple Inc., dividends per share (DPS)
YearValueDPSt or Terminal value (TVt)CalculationPresent value at 13.14%
0DPS01 3.00
1DPS14.00= 3.00 (1 + 33.43%) 3.54
2DPS25.13= 4.00 (1 + 28.04%) 4.00
3DPS36.29= 5.13 (1 + 22.65%) 4.34
4DPS47.37= 6.29 (1 + 17.26%) 4.50
5DPS58.25= 7.37 (1 + 11.88%) 4.45
Terminal value (TV5) 732.27 = 8.25 (1 + 11.88%) (13.14% - 11.88%) 395.07
Intrinsic value of Apple Inc.'s common stock (per share)
$415.90
Current share price$266.37
Based on: 10-K (filing date: 2019-10-31).
Dividend growth rate (g) implied by PRAT model
Apple Inc., PRAT model
Average
Sep 28, 2019
Sep 29, 2018
Sep 30, 2017
Sep 24, 2016
Sep 26, 2015
Sep 27, 2014
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Dividends and dividend equivalents declared
14,129
13,735
12,803
12,188
11,627
11,215
Net income
55,256
59,531
48,351
45,687
53,394
39,510
Net sales
260,174
265,595
229,234
215,639
233,715
182,795
Total assets
338,516
365,725
375,319
321,686
290,479
231,839
Shareholders' equity
90,488
107,147
134,047
128,249
119,355
111,547
Financial Ratios
Retention rate1
0.74
0.77
0.74
0.73
0.78
0.72
Profit margin2
21.24%
22.41%
21.09%
21.19%
22.85%
21.61%
Asset turnover3
0.77
0.73
0.61
0.67
0.80
0.79
Financial leverage4
3.74
3.41
2.80
2.51
2.43
2.08
Averages
Retention rate 0.75
Profit margin 21.73%
Asset turnover 0.73
Financial leverage 2.83
Dividend growth rate (g)5
33.43%
Based on:10-K (filing date: 2019-10-31),10-K (filing date: 2018-11-05),10-K (filing date: 2017-11-03),10-K (filing date: 2016-10-26),10-K (filing date: 2015-10-28),10-K (filing date: 2014-10-27).
2019 Calculations
1
Dividend growth rate (g) implied by Gordon growth model
g= 100 (P0r-D0) (P0+D0)
= 100 ($266.3713.14%- $3.00) ($266.37+ $3.00) =11.88%
where:
P0= current price of share of Apple Inc.'s common stock
D0= the last year dividends per share of Apple Inc.'s common stock
r= required rate of return on Apple Inc.'s common stock
Dividend growth rate (g) forecast
Apple Inc., H-model
Year Value gt
1 g1 33.43%
2 g2 28.04%
3 g3 22.65%
4 g4 17.26%
5 and thereafter g5 11.88%
DeclaredRecordPayableAmountType
October 30, 2019November 11, 2019November 14, 2019$.77Regular Cash
July 30, 2019August 12, 2019August 15, 2019$.77Regular Cash
Apr 30, 2019May 13, 2019May 16, 2019$.77Regular Cash
Jan 29, 2019Feb 11, 2019Feb 14, 2019$.73Regular Cash
Nov 1, 2018Nov 12, 2018Nov 15, 2018$.73Regular Cash
Jul 31, 2018Aug 13, 2018Aug 16, 2018$.73Regular Cash
May 1, 2018May 14, 2018May 17, 2018$.73Regular Cash
Feb 1, 2018Feb 12, 2018Feb 15, 2018$.63Regular Cash
Nov 2, 2017Nov 13, 2017Nov 16, 2017$.63Regular Cash
Aug 1, 2017Aug 14, 2017Aug 17, 2017$.63Regular Cash
May 2, 2017May 15, 2017May 18, 2017$.63Regular Cash
Jan 31, 2017Feb 13, 2017Feb 16, 2017$.57Regular Cash
Oct 25, 2016Nov 7, 2016Nov 10, 2016$.57Regular Cash
Jul 26, 2016Aug 8, 2016Aug 11, 2016$.57Regular Cash
Apr 26, 2016May 9, 2016May 12, 2016$.57Regular Cash
Jan 26, 2016Feb 8, 2016Feb 11, 2016$.52Regular Cash
Oct 27, 2015Nov 9, 2015Nov 12, 2015$.52Regular Cash
Jul 21, 2015Aug 10, 2015Aug 13, 2015$.52Regular Cash
Apr 27, 2015May 11, 2015May 14, 2015$.52Regular Cash
Jan 27, 2015Feb 9, 2015Feb 12, 2015$.47Regular Cash
Oct 20, 2014Nov 10, 2014Nov 13, 2014$.47Regular Cash
Jul 22, 2014Aug 11, 2014Aug 14, 2014$.47Regular Cash
Apr 23, 2014Jun 2, 2014Jun 9, 2014*N/A7-for-1 Stock Split
1.What is Apple Inc.'s stock price using the dividend-discount model?
- What is Apple Inc's current dividend?
3.Analyze/ estimate Apple Inc's growth rate for the next five to ten years, or the formula "g=ROE x b".
- Use the estimate of the cost of equity in the WACC for the rE part of the formula: Combine the above information into the dividend-discount model (DDM).
- Compare The result to the current market price of Apple Inc's stock.
- Provide analysis and an explanation of how they compare and explain any differences you observe
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