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As Juan was reviewing the modeling results, his colleague, Mary, commented that he might want to try other forecasting methods that are simpler and may
As Juan was reviewing the modeling results, his colleague, Mary, commented that he might want to try other forecasting methods that are simpler and may provide better forecasts. Mary suggested to try Moving Average and Exponential Smoothing models to try and generate a more accurate forecast.
Question: 5. Plot the Moving Average models with the actual WTI on one chart AND on a separate chart plot the Exponential Smoothing models with actual WTI.
Day 20.28 Weekly Cushing OK WTI Spot Price FOB Dollars per Weekly Cushing OK WTI Spot Weekly Cushing OK WTI Weekly Cushing OK WTI Spot Barrel Weekly Cushing OK WTI Spot Day Price FOB Dollars per Barrel Day Weekly Cushing OK WTI Spot Spot Price FOB Dollars per Price FOB Dollars per Barrel Day Price FOB Dollars per Barrel Day Price FOB Dollars per Barrel Day Barrel 5/26/1995 19.37 9/30/1994 17.83 2/4/1994 15.76 6/11/1993 19.43 1/1/1993 19.63 5/19/1995 5/8/1992 20.86 19.98 9/23/1994 17.38 1/28/1994 15.34 6/4/1993 19.95 12/25/1992 19.91 5/12/1995 20.63 19.74 5/1/1992 9/16/1994 16.93 1/21/1994 15.02 5/28/1993 19.84 12/18/1992 19.38 5/5/1995 4/24/1992 20.06 20.24 9/9/1994 17.65 1/14/1994 14.67 5/21/1993 19.43 12/11/1992 19.01 4/28/1995 20.29 4/17/1992 20.06 9/2/1994 17.52 1/7/1994 15.03 5/14/1993 20.06 12/4/1992 19.38 4/21/1995 4/10/1992 20.43 20.26 8/26/1994 17.23 12/31/1993 14.21 5/7/1993 20.47 11/27/1992 20.16 4/14/1995 4/3/1992 19.73 19.53 8/19/1994 17.85 12/24/1993 14.4 4/30/1993 20.3 11/20/1992 20.35 4/7/1995 3/27/1992 19.09 19.43 8/12/1994 18.88 12/17/1993 14.31 4/23/1993 19.95 11/13/1992 20.37 3/31/1995 19.12 8/5/1994 3/20/1992 19.1 20.09 12/10/1993 14.68 4/16/1993 11/6/1992 20.52 3/24/1995 3/13/1992 18.69 7/29/1994 18.76 19.66 12/3/1993 15.21 4/9/1993 20.37 10/30/1992 20.95 18.55 3/17/1995 18.13 3/6/1992 7/22/1994 19.39 11/26/1993 16.08 4/2/1993 20.44 10/23/1992 21.58 3/10/1995 2/28/1992 18.27 7/15/1994 18.51 20.16 11/19/1993 16.75 3/26/1993 20 10/16/1992 22.25 3/3/1995 2/21/1992 18.62 18.5 7/8/1994 19.39 11/12/1993 16.71 3/19/1993 20.14 10/9/1992 21.9 2/14/1992 2/24/1995 18.75 7/1/1994 19.49 19.16 11/5/1993 17.29 3/12/1993 20.45 10/2/1992 21.81 2/17/1995 19.42 18.55 2/7/1992 6/24/1994 19.8 10/29/1993 17.37 3/5/1993 20.69 9/25/1992 21.71 2/10/1995 1/31/1992 19.05 18.42 6/17/1994 19.61 10/22/1993 18.12 2/26/1993 20.4 9/18/1992 22.21 1/24/1992 2/3/1995 18.66 6/10/1994 18.26 10/15/1993 18.57 2/19/1993 19.51 9/11/1992 21.94 1/27/1995 1/17/1992 18.34 18.81 6/3/1994 18.24 10/8/1993 18.46 2/12/1993 20.13 9/4/1992 21.66 1/20/1995 1/10/1992 18.45 5/27/1994 18.41 18.14 10/1/1993 18.33 2/5/1993 20.22 8/28/1992 21.43 1/13/1995 1/3/1992 17.55 5/20/1994 19.11 18.21 9/24/1993 17.67 1/29/1993 19.9 8/21/1992 21.39 12/27/1991 1/6/1995 17.62 18.68 5/13/1994 17.93 9/17/1993 16.94 1/22/1993 18.61 8/14/1992 21.18 12/30/1994 19.2 17.71 12/20/1991 5/6/1994 17.2 9/10/1993 16.96 1/15/1993 18.62 8/7/1992 12/23/1994 21.34 12/13/1991 17.1 4/29/1994 19.64 16.93 9/3/1993 18.1 1/8/1993 19 7/31/1992 21.95 12/16/1994 20.55 16.86 12/6/1991 4/22/1994 17.02 8/27/1993 18.49 1/1/1993 19.63 7/24/1992 21.95 12/9/1994 11/29/1991 16.99 21.49 4/15/1994 16.07 8/20/1993 17.84 12/25/1992 19.91 7/17/1992 21.58 11/22/1991 12/2/1994 22.04 17.78 4/8/1994 15.65 8/13/1993 17.87 12/18/1992 19.38 7/10/1992 21.48 11/25/1994 11/15/1991 22.57 17.73 4/1/1994 14.44 8/6/1993 17.67 12/11/1992 19.01 7/3/1992 22.03 11/18/1994 11/8/1991 23.47 17.51 3/25/1994 15.15 7/30/1993 18.18 12/4/1992 19.38 6/26/1992 22.68 11/11/1994 11/1/1991 23.32 18.25 3/18/1994 14.82 7/23/1993 17.54 11/27/1992 20.16 6/19/1992 22.26 11/4/1994 10/25/1991 23.46 18.69 3/11/1994 14.24 7/16/1993 17.72 11/20/1992 20.35 6/12/1992 22.35 10/28/1994 10/18/1991 23.82 17.93 3/4/1994 14.68 7/9/1993 18.02 11/13/1992 20.37 6/5/1992 22.38 10/21/1994 10/11/1991 2/25/1994 23.08 17.35 14.44 7/2/1993 18.61 11/6/1992 20.52 5/29/1992 21.98 10/14/1994 10/4/1991 17.37 2/18/1994 22.41 14.13 6/25/1993 18.52 10/30/1992 20.95 5/22/1992 20.49 10/7/1994 9/27/1991 2/11/1994 22.24 18.13 14.87 6/18/1993 18.76 10/23/1992 21.58 5/15/1992 20.8 9/20/1991 21.85 Weekly Cushing OK WTI Spot Day Price FOB Dollars per Barrel 9/13/1991 21.54 9/6/1991 21.84 8/30/1991 21.98 8/23/1991 21.99 8/16/1991 21.44 8/9/1991 21.5 8/2/1991 21.46 7/26/1991 21.4 7/19/1991 21.91 7/12/1991 21.43 7/5/1991 20.8 6/28/1991 20.21 6/21/1991 20.08 6/14/1991 19.84 6/7/1991 5/31/1991 21.21 5/24/1991 21.04 5/17/1991 20.95 5/10/1991 21.69 5/3/1991 21.23 20.63 18.5 Day 20.28 Weekly Cushing OK WTI Spot Price FOB Dollars per Weekly Cushing OK WTI Spot Weekly Cushing OK WTI Weekly Cushing OK WTI Spot Barrel Weekly Cushing OK WTI Spot Day Price FOB Dollars per Barrel Day Weekly Cushing OK WTI Spot Spot Price FOB Dollars per Price FOB Dollars per Barrel Day Price FOB Dollars per Barrel Day Price FOB Dollars per Barrel Day Barrel 5/26/1995 19.37 9/30/1994 17.83 2/4/1994 15.76 6/11/1993 19.43 1/1/1993 19.63 5/19/1995 5/8/1992 20.86 19.98 9/23/1994 17.38 1/28/1994 15.34 6/4/1993 19.95 12/25/1992 19.91 5/12/1995 20.63 19.74 5/1/1992 9/16/1994 16.93 1/21/1994 15.02 5/28/1993 19.84 12/18/1992 19.38 5/5/1995 4/24/1992 20.06 20.24 9/9/1994 17.65 1/14/1994 14.67 5/21/1993 19.43 12/11/1992 19.01 4/28/1995 20.29 4/17/1992 20.06 9/2/1994 17.52 1/7/1994 15.03 5/14/1993 20.06 12/4/1992 19.38 4/21/1995 4/10/1992 20.43 20.26 8/26/1994 17.23 12/31/1993 14.21 5/7/1993 20.47 11/27/1992 20.16 4/14/1995 4/3/1992 19.73 19.53 8/19/1994 17.85 12/24/1993 14.4 4/30/1993 20.3 11/20/1992 20.35 4/7/1995 3/27/1992 19.09 19.43 8/12/1994 18.88 12/17/1993 14.31 4/23/1993 19.95 11/13/1992 20.37 3/31/1995 19.12 8/5/1994 3/20/1992 19.1 20.09 12/10/1993 14.68 4/16/1993 11/6/1992 20.52 3/24/1995 3/13/1992 18.69 7/29/1994 18.76 19.66 12/3/1993 15.21 4/9/1993 20.37 10/30/1992 20.95 18.55 3/17/1995 18.13 3/6/1992 7/22/1994 19.39 11/26/1993 16.08 4/2/1993 20.44 10/23/1992 21.58 3/10/1995 2/28/1992 18.27 7/15/1994 18.51 20.16 11/19/1993 16.75 3/26/1993 20 10/16/1992 22.25 3/3/1995 2/21/1992 18.62 18.5 7/8/1994 19.39 11/12/1993 16.71 3/19/1993 20.14 10/9/1992 21.9 2/14/1992 2/24/1995 18.75 7/1/1994 19.49 19.16 11/5/1993 17.29 3/12/1993 20.45 10/2/1992 21.81 2/17/1995 19.42 18.55 2/7/1992 6/24/1994 19.8 10/29/1993 17.37 3/5/1993 20.69 9/25/1992 21.71 2/10/1995 1/31/1992 19.05 18.42 6/17/1994 19.61 10/22/1993 18.12 2/26/1993 20.4 9/18/1992 22.21 1/24/1992 2/3/1995 18.66 6/10/1994 18.26 10/15/1993 18.57 2/19/1993 19.51 9/11/1992 21.94 1/27/1995 1/17/1992 18.34 18.81 6/3/1994 18.24 10/8/1993 18.46 2/12/1993 20.13 9/4/1992 21.66 1/20/1995 1/10/1992 18.45 5/27/1994 18.41 18.14 10/1/1993 18.33 2/5/1993 20.22 8/28/1992 21.43 1/13/1995 1/3/1992 17.55 5/20/1994 19.11 18.21 9/24/1993 17.67 1/29/1993 19.9 8/21/1992 21.39 12/27/1991 1/6/1995 17.62 18.68 5/13/1994 17.93 9/17/1993 16.94 1/22/1993 18.61 8/14/1992 21.18 12/30/1994 19.2 17.71 12/20/1991 5/6/1994 17.2 9/10/1993 16.96 1/15/1993 18.62 8/7/1992 12/23/1994 21.34 12/13/1991 17.1 4/29/1994 19.64 16.93 9/3/1993 18.1 1/8/1993 19 7/31/1992 21.95 12/16/1994 20.55 16.86 12/6/1991 4/22/1994 17.02 8/27/1993 18.49 1/1/1993 19.63 7/24/1992 21.95 12/9/1994 11/29/1991 16.99 21.49 4/15/1994 16.07 8/20/1993 17.84 12/25/1992 19.91 7/17/1992 21.58 11/22/1991 12/2/1994 22.04 17.78 4/8/1994 15.65 8/13/1993 17.87 12/18/1992 19.38 7/10/1992 21.48 11/25/1994 11/15/1991 22.57 17.73 4/1/1994 14.44 8/6/1993 17.67 12/11/1992 19.01 7/3/1992 22.03 11/18/1994 11/8/1991 23.47 17.51 3/25/1994 15.15 7/30/1993 18.18 12/4/1992 19.38 6/26/1992 22.68 11/11/1994 11/1/1991 23.32 18.25 3/18/1994 14.82 7/23/1993 17.54 11/27/1992 20.16 6/19/1992 22.26 11/4/1994 10/25/1991 23.46 18.69 3/11/1994 14.24 7/16/1993 17.72 11/20/1992 20.35 6/12/1992 22.35 10/28/1994 10/18/1991 23.82 17.93 3/4/1994 14.68 7/9/1993 18.02 11/13/1992 20.37 6/5/1992 22.38 10/21/1994 10/11/1991 2/25/1994 23.08 17.35 14.44 7/2/1993 18.61 11/6/1992 20.52 5/29/1992 21.98 10/14/1994 10/4/1991 17.37 2/18/1994 22.41 14.13 6/25/1993 18.52 10/30/1992 20.95 5/22/1992 20.49 10/7/1994 9/27/1991 2/11/1994 22.24 18.13 14.87 6/18/1993 18.76 10/23/1992 21.58 5/15/1992 20.8 9/20/1991 21.85 Weekly Cushing OK WTI Spot Day Price FOB Dollars per Barrel 9/13/1991 21.54 9/6/1991 21.84 8/30/1991 21.98 8/23/1991 21.99 8/16/1991 21.44 8/9/1991 21.5 8/2/1991 21.46 7/26/1991 21.4 7/19/1991 21.91 7/12/1991 21.43 7/5/1991 20.8 6/28/1991 20.21 6/21/1991 20.08 6/14/1991 19.84 6/7/1991 5/31/1991 21.21 5/24/1991 21.04 5/17/1991 20.95 5/10/1991 21.69 5/3/1991 21.23 20.63 18.5Step by Step Solution
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