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As newly appointed Energy Czar, your goal is to reduce the total demand for residential heating fuel in your state. You must choose one of

As newly appointed "Energy Czar," your goal is to reduce the total demand for residential heating fuel in your state. You must choose one of three legislative proposals designed to accomplish this goal: To assist you in your decision, an economist in your office has estimated the demand for residential heating fuel using a linear demand specification. The regression results are presented below.

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics

Multiple R 0.76
R Square 0.57
Adjusted R Square 0.49
Standard Error 47.13
Observations 25

Analysis of Variance
Degrees of Freedom Sum of Squares Mean Square F Significance F
Regression 4 60936.56 15234.14 6.86 0.03
Residual 20 44431.27 2221.56
Total 24 105367.84

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%
Intercept 136.96 43.46 3.15 0.01 50.60 223.32

Price of Residential Heating Fuel

91.69 29.09 3.15 0.01 149.49 33.89

Price of Natural Gas

43.88 9.17 4.79 0.00 25.66 62.10

Price of Electricity

11.92 8.35 1.43 0.17 -28.51 4.67

Income

0.050 0.3500 0.14 0.90 -0.75 0.65

Based on this information, which proposal would you favor?

  1. a tax that would effectively increase the price of residential heating fuel by $1;
  2. a subsidy that would effectively reduce the price of natural gas by $3; or
  3. a tax that would effectively increase the price of electricity (produced by hydroelectric facilities) by $4.

Explain how the analysis above contributed to your answer and why you made the selection you did.

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