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As part of your analysis (of RTI), you calculated 120 annualized monthly returns for RTI over the last 10 years. The table below ranks all

As part of your analysis (of RTI), you calculated 120 annualized monthly returns for RTI over the last 10 years. The table below ranks all 120 returns from the highest (139.273%) to the lowest (-32.67%).

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a. Calculate the 4% VaR. (5 points)

b. Calculate the expected shortfall (ES) at the 4% level. (5 points)

c. Which of these measures is the most pessimistic estimate of the riskiness of RTI? Explain your rationale. (4 points)

\begin{tabular}{|r|r|r|r|r|r|} \hline 139.273 & 70.76973 & 33.44157 & 17.00694 & 1.550874 & 15.8386 \\ \hline 121.7082 & 70.5349 & 33.18402 & 16.97665 & 0.15624 & 16.9035 \\ \hline 113.9808 & 66.92517 & 32.3891 & 16.28518 & 0.1896 & 17.8971 \\ \hline 100.2383 & 64.0577 & 31.94998 & 16.2251 & 1.37588 & 19.4071 \\ \hline 92.42082 & 60.96641 & 30.31605 & 14.47807 & 1.52071 & 20.0354 \\ \hline 91.93812 & 60.67967 & 30.19054 & 14.18202 & 2.03423 & 20.5656 \\ \hline 89.99992 & 60.17686 & 29.86178 & 13.94073 & 2.29625 & 20.6563 \\ \hline 89.86038 & 53.92727 & 29.59561 & 13.86196 & 3.15612 & 21.8039 \\ \hline 87.90029 & 51.56665 & 28.28468 & 13.7793 & 3.23564 & 22.3595 \\ \hline 87.18278 & 49.2718 & 27.74365 & 11.95869 & 3.53277 & 24.1948 \\ \hline 86.08503 & 45.21356 & 26.95561 & 11.79736 & 6.23721 & 25.4556 \\ \hline 85.51272 & 43.4514 & 25.71885 & 10.87671 & 7.27602 & 25.528 \\ \hline 84.4945 & 42.73858 & 25.29337 & 10.82257 & 8.0988 & 25.5845 \\ \hline 81.81487 & 39.77079 & 23.84009 & 10.22539 & 9.40545 & 26.2212 \\ \hline 78.6193 & 38.85159 & 23.02676 & 9.096353 & 9.42206 & 26.9046 \\ \hline 77.33038 & 38.82887 & 22.16073 & 8.758075 & 9.96044 & 27.5972 \\ \hline 75.42571 & 38.75575 & 21.56512 & 7.760949 & 11.3582 & 29.2348 \\ \hline 74.77076 & 35.90144 & 19.95164 & 6.033329 & 11.9791 & 29.7546 \\ \hline 73.2764 & 33.87951 & 19.72466 & 4.267272 & 13.6546 & 30.2648 \\ \hline 72.00631 & 33.72873 & 18.80475 & 3.595479 & 13.9868 & 32.6774 \\ \hline \end{tabular} \begin{tabular}{|r|r|r|r|r|r|} \hline 139.273 & 70.76973 & 33.44157 & 17.00694 & 1.550874 & 15.8386 \\ \hline 121.7082 & 70.5349 & 33.18402 & 16.97665 & 0.15624 & 16.9035 \\ \hline 113.9808 & 66.92517 & 32.3891 & 16.28518 & 0.1896 & 17.8971 \\ \hline 100.2383 & 64.0577 & 31.94998 & 16.2251 & 1.37588 & 19.4071 \\ \hline 92.42082 & 60.96641 & 30.31605 & 14.47807 & 1.52071 & 20.0354 \\ \hline 91.93812 & 60.67967 & 30.19054 & 14.18202 & 2.03423 & 20.5656 \\ \hline 89.99992 & 60.17686 & 29.86178 & 13.94073 & 2.29625 & 20.6563 \\ \hline 89.86038 & 53.92727 & 29.59561 & 13.86196 & 3.15612 & 21.8039 \\ \hline 87.90029 & 51.56665 & 28.28468 & 13.7793 & 3.23564 & 22.3595 \\ \hline 87.18278 & 49.2718 & 27.74365 & 11.95869 & 3.53277 & 24.1948 \\ \hline 86.08503 & 45.21356 & 26.95561 & 11.79736 & 6.23721 & 25.4556 \\ \hline 85.51272 & 43.4514 & 25.71885 & 10.87671 & 7.27602 & 25.528 \\ \hline 84.4945 & 42.73858 & 25.29337 & 10.82257 & 8.0988 & 25.5845 \\ \hline 81.81487 & 39.77079 & 23.84009 & 10.22539 & 9.40545 & 26.2212 \\ \hline 78.6193 & 38.85159 & 23.02676 & 9.096353 & 9.42206 & 26.9046 \\ \hline 77.33038 & 38.82887 & 22.16073 & 8.758075 & 9.96044 & 27.5972 \\ \hline 75.42571 & 38.75575 & 21.56512 & 7.760949 & 11.3582 & 29.2348 \\ \hline 74.77076 & 35.90144 & 19.95164 & 6.033329 & 11.9791 & 29.7546 \\ \hline 73.2764 & 33.87951 & 19.72466 & 4.267272 & 13.6546 & 30.2648 \\ \hline 72.00631 & 33.72873 & 18.80475 & 3.595479 & 13.9868 & 32.6774 \\ \hline \end{tabular}

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