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As the chief financial officer of Blades, Inc., Ben Holt is pleased that his current system of exporting Speedos to Thailand seems to be working
As the chief financial officer of Blades, Inc., Ben Holt is pleased that his current system of exporting Speedos to Thailand seems to be working well. Blades primary customer in Thailand, a retailer called Entertainment Products, has committed itself to purchasing a fixed number of Speedos annually for the next three years at a fixed price denominated in baht, Thailands cur rency. Furthermore, Blades is using a Thai supplier for some of the components needed to manufacture Speedos. Nevertheless, Holt is concerned about recent developments in Asia. Foreign investors from various countries had invested heavily in Thailand to take advantage of the high interest rates there. As a result of the weak economy in Thailand, however, many for eign investors have lost confidence in Thailand and have withdrawn their funds.
Holt has two major concerns regarding these developments. First, he is wondering how these changes in Thailands economy could affect the value of the Thai baht and, consequently, Blades. More specifically, he is wondering whether the effects on the Thai baht may affect Blades even though its primary Thai customer is committed to Blades over the next three years. Second, Holt believes that Blades may be able to speculate on the anticipated movement of the baht, but he is uncertain about the procedure needed to accomplish this. To facilitate Holts understanding of exchange rate speculation, he has asked you, Blades financial analyst, to provide him with detailed illustra tions of two scenarios. In the first, the baht would move from a current level of $ to $ within the next days. Under the second scenario, the baht would move from its current level to $ within the next days.
Construct a spreadsheet illustrating the steps Blades treasurer would need to follow in order to speculate on expected movements in the bahts value over the next days. Also show the speculative profit in dollars resulting from each scenario. Use both of Holts examples to illustrate possible speculation. Assume that Blades can borrow either $ million or the baht equivalent of this amount. Furthermore, assume that the following shortterm interest rates annualized are available to Blades:
Lending Rate Dollars:
Lending Rate Thai Bhat:
Borrowing Rate Dollars:
Borrowing Rate Thai Bhat:
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