Question
As you wake up on the morning of Tuesday 21 st April and prepare for your second day of work in your new position as
As you wake up on the morning of Tuesday 21stApril and prepare for your second day of work in your new position as the Deputy Risk Manager for Virgin Oz, you watch breakfast TV.You hear the headlines that for the first time in history oil has plunged below zero as demand collapses and that May oil futures have turned negative at minus $US37.63 (AUD $59.37). It was at roughly $US60 earlier in the year when your boss took out a number of derivative contracts.Working for an airline which uses a lot of derivative products you think that your boss is in for a bad day.
When you arrive at work you discover that your boss has quit amid rumours of sizeable losses on hedges that he has undertaken which, on top of numerous travel bans, could bankrupt the company and that the Board of Directors want to see you immediately.Suddenly you realize that it is you that is going to have the bad day.
The Board of Directors turn to you as the deputy risk manager and want you to carry out a full review of all the derivative contracts that your boss has entered into so that they can determine the company's exposure.
When you start your investigations, you discover that your former boss has attempted to hedge the company's position using futures, forward and swaps.
a)Check that the principles of forward and futures pricing has been correctly applied to the value of contracts that your former boss entered into to ensure the integrity of these transactions.He did quit suddenly after all.
b)Determine the strategy that your boss has attempted to achieve in his hedging actions.Have appropriate contracts been entered into?
c)Ascertain the likely profit/losses to date on the contracts.
d)Determine a new options strategy to maximize Virgin Oz's position.
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