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. As you'll see in Question Two of this problem set, I've given you some real ETF data to work with, consisting of weekly returns
As you'll see in Question Two of this problem set, I've given you some real ETF data to work with, consisting of weekly returns going back to One of these ETFs is the Vanguard Total Stock Market VTI which tracks the overall US equity market. However, starting in is far too short a time period to use historical data to get a meaningful estimate of what future market performance might be
Suppose I instead gave you market data going back to In fact I do give you this in the FF Research worksheet more on this in Question Two
Or how about if I gave you data on US returns going back to Or British returns going back to the s
You could also take averages of these returns and use them to estimate future market performance.
What issues might you face when using historical data like this to try to say something about future returns?
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