Question
Asmall town gets its water supply from three nearby lakes, A, B, and C. Sometimes in the late summer the water level in a lake
Asmall town gets its water supply from three nearby lakes, A, B, and C. Sometimes in the late summer the water level in a lake falls below a certain critical level. When this occurs, there is a risk that the water from that lake will become polluted with E-Coli. If the water supply to the town becomes polluted, the residents are advised to boil their water. If only the water level at lake A falls below the critical level, experience has shown that the residents will have a 5% chance of a boil water advisory. Similarly, if only the water levels at lakes B or C fall below the critical level, chances of a boil water advisory are 4% and 7%, respectively. If two or more lakes fall below the critical levels simultaneously, the risk of a boil water advisory rises to 40%. Lake A falls below the critical level in 30% of the summers, while this number is 50% and 20% for lakes B and C, respectively. The probability that exactly two lakes will fall below their critical levels simultaneously is 12%, and it is equally likely to be any two of the three. Finally, there is a 3% chance that all three lakes will simultaneously fall below their critical levels. During some summer in the future:
a) What is the probability that the residents will have a boil water advisory?
b) If the residents have a boil water advisory, what is the probability that the water level will fall below the critical level at lake B alone?
c) If the residents have a boil water advisory, what is the probability that the water level will fall below the critical levels at two or more lakes simultaneously?
Step by Step Solution
There are 3 Steps involved in it
Step: 1
Get Instant Access to Expert-Tailored Solutions
See step-by-step solutions with expert insights and AI powered tools for academic success
Step: 2
Step: 3
Ace Your Homework with AI
Get the answers you need in no time with our AI-driven, step-by-step assistance
Get Started