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Assets ($ million) Duration (years) Reserves and cash items 500 0 Securities Less than 1 year 500 0.4 1 to 2 years 500 1.6 Greater

Assets

($ million)

Duration (years)

Reserves and cash items

500

0

Securities

Less than 1 year

500

0.4

1 to 2 years

500

1.6

Greater than 2 years

1000

7

Residential mortgages

Variable-rate

100

0.5

Fixed-rate (30-year)

1000

6

Commercial loans

Less than 1 year

1500

0.7

1 to 2 years

1000

1.4

Greater than 2 years

2500

4

Physical assets

5000

0

Totals Assets

13600

Liabilities and Equity

Checkable deposits

1500

2

Money market deposit accounts

500

0.1

Savings deposits

1500

1

CDs

Variable-rate

1000

0.5

Less than 1 year

1500

0.2

1 to 2 years

500

1.2

Greater than 2 years

500

2.7

Overnight funds

50

0

Borrowings

1.3

Less than 1 year

1000

0.3

1 to 2 years

500

1.3

Greater than 2 years

500

3.1

Total liabilities

9050

Equity (K)

4550

Total Liabilities and Equity

13600

From the following data above you are required to measure interest rate risk using the duration model. To complete this task, estimate the portfolio duration of assets and liabilities, and the duration gap, and then apply duration gap analysis to estimate the change in net worth arising from the interest change. (10 marks)

Assume the following:

  • All accounts are valued at market.
  • All payments are to be made on schedule; there are no assumed defaults, prepayments, or early deposit withdrawals.
  • The interest rate on all business loans is initially assumed to be 4 percent and, on all deposits, 2 percent.
  • If interest rates change, they are assumed to change by equal percentage points (basis points ) for all securities.
  • The current price on IRFs is $95.00 per $100 FV with a contract size of $2,000,000.

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