Question
Assume as a VC that you want to establish a pre- and post-money valuation in support of the issuance of a term sheet. In order
- Assume as a VC that you want to establish a pre- and post-money valuation in support of the issuance of a term sheet.
In order to establish a discount rate, youve decided to use CAPM with the following inputs:
- Risk free rate of 4%
- Market return expectation of 10%
- Beta coefficient of 2.5
You are planning to invest $5mm in a lump sum based solely on the companys success-based forecast as the basis for your operating cash flow (OCF) projections as follows:
| Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 |
OCF | -$3mm | -$1mm | +$1mm | +3mm | +$5mm |
Assume 5% annual growth after year 5.
At this point you perceive the most likely harvest to involve a M&A transaction. Recent transactions have occurred at the following operating cash flow multiples:
Transaction A: 8x Transaction B: 10x Transaction C: 11x Transaction D: 12x
The company currently has 1mm shares outstanding.
Propose an implied share price, a pre-money and post-valuation valuation for this venture.
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