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Assume that an economy can have four states: Severe recession, Mild recession, Normal growth, Boom. Probability of each scenario, stock and bond annual returns in

Assume that an economy can have four states: Severe recession, Mild recession, Normal growth, Boom. Probability of each scenario, stock and bond annual returns in that scenario are provided below. Lets also assume that you are creating a portfolio with 65% stocks and 35% bonds.

Economy State Probability Stock Return (%) Bond Return (%)
Severe recession 0.20 -37 -9
Mild recession 0.30 -11 15
Normal growth 0.40 14 8
Boom 0.10 30 -5

How much is the expected annual return on Stocks?
Enter your answer in the following format: + or - 0.1234
Hint: Answer is between -0.0189 and -0.0231

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