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Assume that BA Cityflyer has the following joint distribution with the market return: Market scenario Probability Market return (%) Year 1 cash fl w forecast

Assume that BA Cityflyer has the following joint distribution with the market return:

Market scenario

Probability

Market return (%)

Year 1 cash fl w forecast ()

Bad

0.25

-15

20 million

Good

0.50

5

25 million

Great

0.25

25

30 million

Assume also that the CAPM holds.

  1. Compute the expected year 1 cash flow for BA Cityflyer.
  2. Find the covariance of the cash flow with the market return and its cash flow beta.
  3. Find the present value if the risk free rate is 4%.

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