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Assume that the daily return of S&P 500 index ( y t ) follows GARCH (1,1) model as follows: y t = c+ t t

Assume that the daily return of S&P 500 index (yt) follows GARCH (1,1) model as follows:

  • yt=c+tt,
  • t2=0+1(t-1t-1)2+1t-12
  • t~ iid N(0,1)

Read 2 years S&P 500 index (^GSPC) data from 09/15/2018 to 09/15/2020.

  1. Calculate 1-day 99% VaR and CVaR(i.e.VaR1%(yt) and CVaR1%(yt)=AVaR1%(yt)).
  2. Calculate 10-day 99% VaRand CVaRusing Monte Carlo simulation method

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