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Assume that the economy can experience four possible states: high growth, normal growth, recession, or depression. For each of those states, you expect the following
Assume that the economy can experience four possible states: high growth, normal growth, recession, or depression. For each of those states, you expect the following stock market returns for the coming year: State of the Economy Probability Return High Growth 0.2 55% Normal Growth 0.6 10% Recession 0.15 -3% Depression 0.05 -8% In dollar terms, what is the value at risk (over a one-year horizon at a 5 percent probability) associated with a $1,000 investment? The value at risk: $
I came to 8.075 this is INCORRECT.
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