Question
Assume that the latest CPI data suggests that the annual U.S. inflation in 2019 would rise to to 2.5% (vs. previous estimate of 2.1%). What
Assume that the latest CPI data suggests that the annual U.S. inflation in 2019 would rise to to 2.5% (vs. previous estimate of 2.1%). What will happen to the stock returns required by investors according to the CAPM model?
1. | The CAPM would indicate that the returns on every stock risel by the amont of inflation differential (i.e., parallel upward shift in SML). | |
2. | Since the inflation risk is spurious, the CAPM-based returns do not change with the change in expected inflation. | |
3. | The CAPM would indicate that the returns on every stock fall by the amont of inflation differential (i.e., parallel downward shift in SML). | |
4. | Because most rational investors hold diversified portfolios, they are automatically protected against the inflation risk and thus there should be no relation between CAPM returns and expected inflation. |
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