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Assume that the projects profitability will be similar to IBMs existing projects in the latest fiscal year and estimate (revenues - costs) each year by

  1. Assume that the projects profitability will be similar to IBMs existing projects in the latest fiscal year

and estimate (revenues - costs) each year by using the latest EBITDA/Sales profit margin. Calculate

EBITDA as EBIT + Depreciation expense from the cash flow statement.

  1. Determine the annual depreciation by assuming IBM depreciates these assets by the straight-line

method over a five-year life.

  1. Calculate the net working capital required each year by assuming that the level of NWC will be a constant percentage of the projects sales. Use IBMs NWC/Sales for the latest fiscal year to estimate the required percentage. (Use only accounts receivable, accounts payable, and inventory to measure working capital. Other components of current assets and liabilities are harder to interpret and not necessarily reflective of the projects required NWCfor example, IBMs cash holdings.)
  2. To determine the free cash flow, deduct the additional capital investment and the change in net working capital each year.

Template is below

Assumptions 2018 Data
Year 1 Sales 3.0% of 2018 Sales Sales
EBITDA EBITDA = Income Before Tax + Interest Expense +Depreciation & amortization
Revenue Growth 1 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 5.0% Calculated EBITDA
Base Case 1 15% 10% 5% 5% Net PPE
Fixed at 0% 2 0% 0% 0% 0% AR (net receivables)
Fixed at 10% 3 10% 10% 10% 10% Inventory
Payables
EBITDA/Sales 20.8% from 2018 NWC
Cap Ex 10.0% 5.0% of 2018 PPE
NWC/Sales 31.3% from 2018 HINT - CHECK
Tax Rate 21.0% 2018 Data
Cost of Capital (WACC) 12.0% Sales 79,590,000
EBITDA 16,545,000
Calculated EBITDA 16,545,000
Net PPE 10,793,000
Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 AR 29,820,000
Revenue Inventory 1,682,000
yoy growth Payables 6,558,000
EBITDA NWC 24,944,000
Depreciation
EBIT
Taxes
Net Income
Depreciation
Increase in NWC
CapEx
Free Cash Flow
Discount Factor
Present Value
NPV
IRR
Depreciation Schedule CapEx Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6
CapEx Yr 0
CapEx Yr 1
Depreciation
NWC Requirements Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6
NWC
Increase in NWC

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