Question
Assume that you will require 1,000 Barrels of oil (you are a finance manager at Delta), one month from today. The current price of oil
Assume that you will require 1,000 Barrels of oil (you are a finance manager at Delta), one month from today. The current price of oil is $80.00 / barrel. You expect that the future spot price/barrel could be either, $85.00, $90.00, or $95.00 with equal probability. The 1 month forward rate oil is $92.00 / Barrel. Compute the Net cost of oil for the following under each of the three scenarios.
Net Final Cost /barrel of oil if you used a Forward contract
Net Final Cost /barrel of oil if you did not hedge, i.e. buy from open market after 1 month.
What should your optimal strategy should be and why
Summarize your answers in the table below
Strategy | Spot Price in 1 month = $85.00 | Spot Price in 1 month = $90.00 | Spot Price in 1 month = $95.00 |
a) Using Forward Contract | |||
Cost of Oil | |||
Profit /Loss on Forward | |||
Net Cost of Oil (with Forward hedging) | |||
b) No Hedge |
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