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Assume that you will require 1,000 Barrels of oil (you are a finance manager at Delta), one month from today. The current price of oil

Assume that you will require 1,000 Barrels of oil (you are a finance manager at Delta), one month from today. The current price of oil is $80.00 / barrel. You expect that the future spot price/barrel could be either, $85.00, $90.00, or $95.00 with equal probability. The 1 month forward rate oil is $92.00 / Barrel. Compute the Net cost of oil for the following under each of the three scenarios.

Net Final Cost /barrel of oil if you used a Forward contract

Net Final Cost /barrel of oil if you did not hedge, i.e. buy from open market after 1 month.

What should your optimal strategy should be and why

Summarize your answers in the table below

Strategy

Spot Price in 1 month = $85.00

Spot Price in 1 month = $90.00

Spot Price in 1 month = $95.00

a) Using Forward Contract

Cost of Oil

Profit /Loss on Forward

Net Cost of Oil

(with Forward hedging)

b) No Hedge

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