Question
Assume the following information about a firm and the value of its liquid assets, assets in-place, and positive NPV projects. The firm has a choice
- Assume the following information about a firm and the value of its liquid assets, assets in-place, and positive NPV projects. The firm has a choice of doing nothing or issuing $1,500 of equity and investing in the positive NPV project. Initially assume that there are only two states of nature (good and bad) with the following information.
| Do nothing | Issue and invest | ||
| Good | Bad | Good | Bad |
Probability of state of nature | 60% | 40% | 60% | 40% |
Liquid assets | 500 | 500 | 500 | 500 |
Assets in place | 1500 | 500 | 3000 | 2000 |
NPV of project | 0 | 0 | 200 | 50 |
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Value of firm | 2000 | 1000 | 3700 | 2550 |
Show the rational expectations equilibrium and explain.
Next assume the same information except that there are three states of nature (good, normal and bad) with the following information. Show the rational expectations equilibrium and explain.
| Do nothing | Issue and invest | ||||
| Good | Normal | Bad | Good | Normal | Bad |
Probability of state | 25% | 50% | 25% | 25% | 50% | 25% |
Liquid assets | 500 | 500 | 500 | 500 | 500 | 500 |
Assets in place | 1500 | 1000 | 500 | 3000 | 2500 | 2000 |
NPV of project | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 125 | 50 |
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Value of firm | 2000 | 1500 | 1000 | 3700 | 3125 | 2550 |
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