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Assume the following information is available for the U.S. and Europe: U.S. Europe Nominal interest rate (ih and if) for ease of notation in Excel,
Assume the following information is available for the U.S. and Europe: | |||
U.S. | Europe | ||
Nominal interest rate (ih and if) for ease of notation in Excel, that subscripts aren't used here | 4% | 6% | |
Expected inflation (Ih and If) | 2% | 5% | |
Spot rate | N/A | $1.13 | |
One-year forward rate | N/A | $1.10 | |
a. Does IRP hold? | |||
b. According to PPP, what is the expected spot rate of the euro in one year? | |||
c. According to the IFE, what is the expected spot rate of the euro in one year? | |||
d. Reconcile your answers to parts (a). and (c). | |||
Hints: | Solution should be as the following: | ||
a | Using IRP, Forward premium (p) = | ||
Expected forward rate for the euro | |||
b | Using PPP, expected spot rate in one year = ef | $/euro | |
expected spot rate in one year = | |||
c | Using IFE, expected spot rate in one year = | ||
expected spot rate in one year = | $/euro | ||
d | |||
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