Question
Assumptions 1. The decision to invest in the Mark II must be made after three years, in 1985. 2. The Mark II has an investment
Assumptions | ||
1. | The decision to invest in the Mark II must be made after three years, in 1985. | |
2. | The Mark II has an investment requirement of $975 million, which is taken as fixed. | |
3. | Forecasted cash inflows of the Mark II have a present value in 1985 of $882 million and $510 million (882 / 1.23 = 510) in 1982. | |
4. | The future value of the Mark II cash flows is highly uncertain. This value evolves as a stock price does with a standard deviation of 39% per year. | |
5. | The annual interest rate is 10%. |
Interpretation | ||
The opportunity to invest in the Mark II is a three-year call option on an asset worth $510 million with an exercise price of $975 million. |
How does the value of the option to invest in the Mark II in 1982 change if: a. The investment required for the Mark II is $875 million (vs. $975 million)? (Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to 2 decimal places.) b. The present value of the Mark II in 1982 is $575 million (vs. $510 million)? (Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to 2 decimal places.) c. The standard deviation of the Mark II's present value is only 24% (vs. 39%)? (Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to 2 decimal places.)
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