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At the beginning of its fiscal year 2020, an analyst made the following forecast for ABC, Inc. (in millions of dollars): 2019 2020 2021 2022
At the beginning of its fiscal year 2020, an analyst made the following forecast for ABC, Inc. (in millions of dollars):
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 |
Earnings |
| 320 | 350 | 245 | 321 | 220 |
Dividends |
| 150 | 120 | 98 | 105 | 86 |
Book value | 890 |
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Suppose these numbers were given to you at the end of 2019, as forecasts, when the book value was 890 million, as indicated and market price of the stock was $10.5 per share. Use a required return of 10 percent for calculations below. Show your working process.
- Calculate residual earnings and return of common equity (ROCE) for each year, 20202024.
[5 marks]
- Value the firm at the end of 2019 under the assumption that the RE in 2024 will continue at the same level subsequently.
[2 marks]
- Based on you analysis, if the number of shares outstanding at the end of 2019 was 220 million, what should be the share price of ABC?
[1 mark]
- Based on your estimate, should investors buy the share of this company?
[1 mark]
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