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At the close of business on March 31, Chevron sold for 107.37 per share. Call options at various strike prices expiring May 19 sold for

At the close of business on March 31, Chevron sold for 107.37 per share. Call options at various strike prices expiring May 19 sold for the following prices:

Strike

Price

95

12.05

100

10.78

105

3.93

110

1.28

115

0.28

120

0.05

Graph the smile for this set of call options, using the Manaseter and Koehler (M-K) technique. The interest rate is 2 percent per year.

M-K technique:

Let ABS(z)= absolute value of z.

Given a stock price S0, a strike price X, the interest rate r and the time to expiration T.

Our 1st estimate of implicit volatility according to the M-K method is 1=((ABS(LN(S0/X)+rT))*(2/T))0.5.

The 1st 2 terms are in the absolute value bracket.

You take the square root of the whole equation

The update formula is:

2= 1 [(C1-C*(true)) * (2)0.5 exp(d2/2)/[S0 (T) 0.5]]

where d is calculated from the 1st (or previous)iteration with your initial estimate of thestandard deviation. C*(true) is the market price of the option.

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