Question
(a)Your undergraduate friend has run a time series regression for unemployment on a set of regressors and is very excited to have gotten an R2
(a)Your undergraduate friend has run a time series regression for unemployment on a set of regressors and is very excited to have gotten an R2 of 82% with some of the regressors significant at conventional levels. Your friend is excited about this result
and keen on using it to forecast unemployment. Should you share your friends excitement? Discuss. b) We evaluate time series forecasts using the root mean squared error (RMSE) and the mean absolute error (MAE). Explain how you construct each of these measures. c) You want to compare a forecast for unemployment with a forecast for inflation. You think that using RMSE and MAE will tell you which forecast is performing better. Your friend notes that this runs into a problem. What is it?
Step by Step Solution
There are 3 Steps involved in it
Step: 1
Get Instant Access to Expert-Tailored Solutions
See step-by-step solutions with expert insights and AI powered tools for academic success
Step: 2
Step: 3
Ace Your Homework with AI
Get the answers you need in no time with our AI-driven, step-by-step assistance
Get Started