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(b) Develop a three-month moving average for this time series. Compute MSE and a forecast for month 8. If required, round your answers to two
(b) | Develop a three-month moving average for this time series. Compute MSE and a forecast for month 8. |
If required, round your answers to two decimal places. Do not round intermediate calculation. | |
MSE: | |
The forecast for month 8: | |
(c) | Use = 0.2 to compute the exponential smoothing values for the time series. Compute MSE and a forecast for month 8. |
If required, round your answers to two decimal places. Do not round intermediate calculation. | |
MSE: | |
The forecast for month 8: | |
(d) | Compare the three-month moving average forecast with the exponential smoothing forecast using = 0.2. Which appears to provide the better forecast based on MSE? |
- Select your answer -3-month moving averageexponential smoothingItem 7 | |
(e) | Use trial and error to find a value of the exponential smoothing coefficient that results in the smallest MSE. |
Do not round intermediate calculations. Use a two-decimal digit precision for the exponential smoothing coefficient. | |
= |
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