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B. Suppose that we have identified three important systematic risk factors given by exports, inflation, and industrial production. In the beginning of the year, growth
B. Suppose that we have identified three important systematic risk factors given by exports, inflation, and industrial production. In the beginning of the year, growth in these three factors is estimated at 2.5%,3.5%, and 4.5% respectively. However, actual growth in these factors turns out to be 1.5%,2.4%, and 6%. The factor betas are given by EXPORT =1.6,INFLATION=0.6, and INDPRODUCTION=1.0. (i) If the expected return on the stock is 8%, and no unexpected news concerning the stock surfaces, calculate the stock's total return. (6 marks) (ii) Calculate the stock's total retum if the company announces that an important patent filing has been granted sooner than expected and will earn the company 7% more in return. (2 marks) (iii) Calculate the stock's total return if the company announces that they had an industrial accident and the operating facilities will close down for some time thus resulting in a loss by the company of 7% in return. (3 marks) (iv) What would the stock's total return be if the actual growth in each of the factors was equal to growth expected? Assume no unexpected news on the patent. (1 mark)
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