B1. Construct a Scatter Plot

Do you observe a trend?

If so, what type of trend do you see?

B2. Fit Trend Lines

Which model seems to be more appropriate? Explain?

B3 Calculate (predict) t = 11 for each trend method.

1. Create a Linear prediction for Federal Debt-GDP =

2. Create an Exponential prediction for Federal Debt-GDP =

3. Create a Polynomial (order 5) prediction for Federal Debt-GDP =

Year	t	Federal Debt - GDP
2011	1	96.018
2012	2	100.061
2013	3	100.810
2014	4	102.818
2015	5	100.246
2016	6	105.337
2017	7	104.806
2018	8	105.632
2019	9	107.047
2020	10	128.332