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Background The spreadsheet Group Report Data.xlsx contains monthly returns on ten Australian industry indices from January 2016 to July 2021. The industry abbreviations are
Background The spreadsheet Group Report Data.xlsx contains monthly returns on ten Australian industry indices from January 2016 to July 2021. The industry abbreviations are in the table below. Investor utility is represented by: U = E(R) - A. There are two investors with different risk aversion coefficients (A). Angela has a risk aversion coefficient of 5 and Boris has a risk aversion coefficient of 2. Investors are able to short-sell each industry throughout the report. Investors are unable to borrow or lend at the risk-free rate except for part 5 of the report. The expected returns per month to be used throughout the report are in the following table. Industry Abbreviation Expected Return Consumer Discretionary COND 0.96% Consumer Staples CONS 0.83% Energy ENGY 1.09% Health Care HC 0.86% Industrials INDU 0.92% Information Technology IT 1.00% Materials MATL 0.87% Telecom TELE 0.90% Utilities UTIL 0.80% Financials FIN 0.90% Real Estate RE 0.96% Requirements Marks will be awarded for the clarity of your discussion, the structure of your report and how you present your findings. Your report will need to address the following four points. You are required to use all of the historical data to estimate the covariance matrix so that you can construct the optimal risky portfolios for each investor. Your report needs to address the following points: 1. Calculate the expected utility for both investors if they invested solely in each industry. Which industries does each investor prefer? What are the reasons for their preference? (15 marks) 2. Consider the MATL and HC industries. What is the optimal portfolio for both Boris and Angela that contains these two industries? Discuss what happens to each investor's utility and portfolio risk for this portfolio compared holding these two industries individually. Will you always reach this conclusion or is specific to these two portfolios? (15 marks) 3. Calculate the optimal portfolio for both investors that consists of the following five industries: MATL, CONS, TELE, RE and HC. How does this compare to the one industry and two industry portfolios in terms of diversification benefits? (15 marks) 4. Calculate the optimal portfolio for both investors that consists of all eleven industries. Compare this to the other portfolios in terms of diversification benefits. What do you observe? Contrast the differences in what you observe between the two investors. (15 marks) 5. Now consider the case where both Boris and Angela can invest in a risk-free asset. The risk- free rate is 0.5% per month. Compare the diversification benefit between the five industry optimal portfolio in part 3 and the ten industry optimal portfolio in part 4. How does the existence of the risk-free rate affect your conclusion regarding diversification benefits? Are diversification benefits increased or reduced if the investors can borrow or lend at the risk- free rate? (20 marks) 6. Your report should conclude with a summary of your findings regarding differences in the benefits of diversification across investors, industries and portfolio size. (10 marks) Marks will be awarded for the clarity of your discussion, the structure of your assignment, how you present your findings (10 marks). Your report will need to present the weights for each portfolio as well as the returns, standard deviation and utility for each portfolio. Please set the initial weights to be equal weights when conducting your optimisation (i.e. weights = 9.09%). Please use graphs and/or tables to support your discussion. Please use 12pt font with 2cm margins and include all references in a bibliography. Excel spreadsheets need to be submitted via the link on Date COND CONS ENGY HC INDU IT MATL TELE UTIL FIN RE 29/01/2016 -0.0265 -0.0018 -0.0649 -0.0258 -0.0269 -0.0491 -0.0912 0.0070 0.0073 -0.0737 0.0022 23/02/2016 -0.0157 -0.0484 0.0028 0.0064 0.0584 -0.0546 0.0912 -0.0547 0.0123 -0.0532 0.0276 31/03/2016 0.0513 0.0300 0.0616 0.0035 0.0227 0.0563 0.0605 0.0471 0.0130 0.0589 0.0278 23/04/2016 -0.0171 0.0105 0.0747 0.0334 0.0151 0.0258 0.1430 0.0046 -0.0032 0.0169 0.0207 31/05/2016 0.0564 -0.0089 -0.0161 0.0939 0.0256 0.0705 -0.0301 0.0496 0.0354 0.0470 0.0278 30/06/2016 -0.0018 -0.0402 -0.0081 -0.0248 -0.0099 -0.0760 0.0059 -0.0128 0.0563 -0.0418 0.0291 29/07/2016 0.0890 0.0855 0.0023 0.0700 0.0717 0.0389 0.0779 0.0423 0.0704 0.0589 0.0545 31/08/2016 -0.0046 0.0186 0.0236 -0.0317 -0.0427 0.0458 0.0001 -0.0650 -0.0568 -0.0165 -0.0230 30/09/2016 0.0028 0.0162 0.0009 -0.0033 -0.0025 0.0146 0.0568 -0.0395 -0.0324 -0.0065 -0.0399 31/10/2016 -0.0613 -0.0383 -0.0198 -0.0805 -0.0411 -0.0659 0.0116 -0.0433 -0.0303 0.0074 -0.0737 30/11/2016 -0.0033 0.0056 0.0329 -0.0163 0.0135 0.0010 0.0225 -0.0041 0.0366 0.0600 0.0069 30/12/2016 0.0421 0.0173 0.0608 0.0086 0.0243 0.0403 0.0383 0.0052 0.0868 0.0551 0.0671 31/01/2017 -0.0430 -0.0104 0.0072 0.0456 -0.0441 -0.0418 0.0477 -0.0168 0.0108 -0.0205 -0.0460 28/02/2017 0.0151 0.0602 -0.0213 0.0390 0.0341 0.0185 -0.0319 -0.0314 0.0307 0.0413 0.0433 31/03/2017 0.0473 0.0547 0.0433 0.0560 0.0435 0.0363 0.0022 0.0028 0.0628 0.0389 0.0095 28/04/2017 0.0070 -0.0253 -0.0055 0.0340 0.0409 0.0352 -0.0025 -0.0948 0.0308 0.0191 0.0249 31/05/2017 -0.0032 -0.0044 0.0152 -0.0238 0.0469 0.0022 -0.0024 0.0338 0.0100 -0.0771 -0.0075 30/06/2017 0.0087 -0.0243 -0.0684 0.0608 -0.0025 0.0188 0.0063 -0.0166 -0.0263 0.0167 -0.0413 31/07/2017 -0.0063 0.0097 0.0062 -0.0750 -0.0274 -0.0049 0.0348 -0.0421 -0.0528 0.0125 -0.0017 31/08/2017 -0.0154 0.0517 0.0518 0.0025 0.0457 0.0099 0.0452 -0.0720 0.0322 -0.0212 0.0137 29/09/2017 -0.0006 -0.0187 0.0112 0.0227 -0.0111 0.0060 -0.0138 -0.0446 -0.0364 0.0111 0.0119 31/10/2017 0.0544 0.0534 0.0641 0.0548 0.0418 0.0844 0.0444 0.0235 0.0496 0.0326 0.0132 30/11/2017 0.0087 0.0324 0.0433 0.0296 0.0221 0.0450 0.0201 -0.0158 0.0298 0.0000 0.0474 29/12/2017 0.0368 0.0167 0.0652 -0.0048 -0.0035 0.0294 0.0611 0.0546 -0.0448 0.0042 0.0038 31/01/2018 -0.0020 0.0021 -0.0028 0.0311 -0.0201 0.0249 0.0046 0.0077 -0.0435 -0.0074 -0.0323 28/02/2018 -0.0119 0.0210 -0.0375 0.0696 -0.0037 0.0166 0.0037 -0.0620 -0.0159 0.0064 -0.0187 30/03/2018 -0.0226 -0.0135 -0.0249 -0.0332 -0.0114 -0.0219 -0.0424 -0.0620 -0.0075 -0.0585 -0.0013 30/04/2018 0.0295 0.0574 0.1072 0.0719 0.0308 0.0276 0.0744 0.0194 0.0216 0.0011 0.0410 31/05/2018 0.0527 0.0000 0.0041 0.0545 0.0124 0.0203 0.0197 -0.1005 0.0103 -0.0006 0.0301 29/06/2018 0.0209 0.0594 0.0774 0.0250 0.0064 0.0590 0.0165 -0.0549 0.0591 0.0399 0.0256 31/07/2018 0.0175 -0.0088 0.0118 0.0223 0.0316 -0.0112 -0.0025 0.0759 -0.0143 0.0204 0.0099 31/08/2018 0.0359 0.0264 -0.0122 0.1042 0.0326 0.1221 -0.0486 0.1302 0.0061 0.0005 0.0261 28/09/2018 -0.0383 -0.0267 0.0427 -0.0730 -0.0215 -0.0065 0.0406 0.0297 -0.0310 -0.0222 -0.0186 31/10/2018 -0.0834 -0.0490 -0.1028 -0.0725 -0.0529 -0.1137 -0.0518 -0.0338 -0.0403 -0.0602 -0.0380 30/11/2018 -0.0453 -0.0292 -0.1068 -0.0397 -0.0060 0.0099 -0.0475 -0.0412 -0.0176 0.0141 -0.0259 31/12/2018 -0.0194 0.0120 -0.0220 0.0272 -0.0029 -0.0408 0.0513 -0.0326 0.0277 -0.0313 0.0107 31/01/2019 0.0428 0.0273 0.1146 0.0391 0.0338 0.0882 0.0697 0.0809 0.0592 -0.0025 0.0585 28/02/2019 0.0669 -0.0139 0.0784 0.0133 0.0644 0.0748 0.0640 0.0338 0.0403 0.0907 0.0219 29/03/2019 0.0139 0.0368 -0.0415 0.0131 0.0198 0.0255 0.0340 0.0551 0.0132 -0.0262 0.0541 30/04/2019 0.0546 0.0733 0.0155 0.0314 0.0315 0.0735 -0.0205 0.0178 -0.0049 0.0440 -0.0167 31/05/2019 0.0204 -0.0416 -0.0380 0.0354 0.0025 -0.0312 0.0311 0.0711 -0.0062 0.0262 0.0258 28/06/2019 -0.0151 0.0292 0.0217 0.0442 0.0555 0.0105 0.0617 0.0302 0.0308 0.0342 0.0324 31/07/2019 0.0475 0.0959 0.0149 0.0596 0.0335 0.0511 0.0117 0.0204 0.0185 0.0177 0.0319 30/08/2019 0.0064 0.0010 -0.0562 0.0343 -0.0250 0.0067 -0.0734 -0.0460 -0.0224 -0.0258 0.0240 30/09/2019 0.0333 0.0174 0.0446 -0.0215 -0.0013 0.0011 0.0295 -0.0425 0.0201 0.0423 -0.0229 31/10/2019 0.0055 -0.0224 0.0031 0.0727 0.0289 -0.0319 -0.0176 -0.0081 0.0123 -0.0288 0.0177 29/11/2019 0.0422 0.0810 0.0729 0.0881 0.0397 0.1055 0.0444 0.0945 -0.0053 -0.0201 0.0233 31/12/2019 -0.0221 -0.0775 -0.0138 -0.0266 -0.0305 -0.0389 0.0182 -0.0761 0.0078 -0.0156 -0.0448 31/01/2020 0.0427 0.0781 0.0057 0.1201 0.0186 0.1024 0.0163 0.0872 0.0038 0.0474 0.0600 28/02/2020 -0.0874 -0.0740 -0.1742 -0.0395 -0.0841 -0.1631 -0.1169 -0.0744 -0.0396 -0.0492 -0.0449 31/03/2020 -0.2642 -0.0355 -0.3764 -0.0564 -0.2301 -0.1758 -0.1325 -0.1062 -0.0674 -0.2770 -0.3558 30/04/2020 0.1644 0.0259 0.2521 0.0487 0.1282 0.2184 0.1437 0.0095 0.0323 0.0289 0.1412 29/05/2020 0.0630 -0.0049 0.0474 -0.0510 0.0381 0.1431 0.0839 0.0642 0.0305 0.0535 0.0706 30/06/2020 0.0506 0.0475 -0.0212 0.0339 -0.0157 0.0370 0.0217 -0.0256 0.0085 0.0434 -0.0145 31/07/2020 0.0288 0.0323 -0.0626 -0.0384 -0.0380 0.0484 0.0591 0.0530 -0.0023 -0.0102 -0.0010 31/08/2020 0.0971 -0.0031 0.0342 0.0402 0.0462 0.1515 0.0116 -0.0853 -0.0480 0.0135 0.0761 30/09/2020 -0.0242 -0.0658 -0.1074 0.0082 -0.0032 -0.0639 -0.0286 -0.0359 -0.0332 -0.0613 -0.0134 30/10/2020 0.0107 0.0456 -0.0097 0.0096 -0.0348 0.0858 -0.0105 -0.0344 -0.0149 0.0627 0.0029 30/11/2020 0.0843 -0.0066 0.2824 0.0289 0.1198 0.0414 0.0766 0.1230 0.0147 0.1612 0.1323 31/12/2020 0.0139 0.0221 -0.0069 -0.0469 -0.0218 0.0857 0.0877 -0.0280 -0.0538 -0.0050 0.0012 29/01/2021 0.0478 0.0202 0.0096 -0.0170 -0.0307 0.0020 -0.0100 0.0448 -0.0009 0.0226 -0.0428 26/02/2021 31/03/2021 -0.0262 -0.0450 0.0250 -0.0282 -0.0184 -0.0802 0.0706 0.0150 -0.0802 0.0515 -0.0146 0.0668 0.0274 -0.0022 0.0243 0.0344 -0.0267 -0.0307 0.0587 0.0681 0.0429 0.0556 30/04/2021 0.0344 -0.0237 -0.0468 0.0287 0.0415 0.0979 0.0748 0.0304 -0.0116 0.0320 0.0278 31/05/2021 0.0316 0.0237 -0.0154 0.0347 -0.0112 -0.0910 0.0179 0.0206 -0.0662 0.0565 0.0147 30/06/2021 0.0453 0.0543 0.0415 0.0214 0.0310 0.1236 0.0008 0.0563 0.0345 -0.0018 0.0481 31/07/2021 -0.0055 0.0150 -0.0241 0.0111 0.0409 -0.0636 0.0706 -0.0148 0.0160 -0.0142 0.0085
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