Background Your company has been granted an exclusive license to sell ice cream in Odiorne Point State
Question:
Background
Your company has been granted an exclusive license to sell ice cream in Odiorne Point State Park, NH. No one has ever sold ice cream here before, so you have no idea what the demand will look like. You suspect that people like to buy more ice cream on hotter days, but you are very unsure about what price you should charge to maximize your profit.
Over your first season selling ice cream, you vary your price each week for the 10 weeks your license allows you to operate. You collect data including price you charged that week (giving you 7 data points at each price), the high temperature for that day, and the average number of cones sold per hour each day. That data is included in 'Elasticity exercise.xlsx' in this module.
You have paid a fixed fee of $10,000 to the state which covers materials (both the costs of the cones and the fixed costs associated with the food truck) to supply the ice cream cones that doesn't vary depending on how many units are sold. A single employee, making $15/hour can handle up to 40 cones per hour, while a second employee would bring your maximum production up to 100 cones per hour.
Instructions
Use the data in 'Elasticity exercise.xlsx' to perform a multiple regression analysis, with Sales per Hour as your dependent variable and 'Price' and 'Avg Temp' as independent variables. (See the video in this module for tips.) Use the results to answer the following questions. 20 points each question.
The State is considering raising the license fee. Assuming you can operate 7 days a week, 8 hours a day for the 10 week season, and labor is your only direct expense (the contract covers the costs of cones outside of labor). If your company wishes to enter the contract at any positive profit (any profit > $0), what is the maximum amount your company should be willing to pay and why?
Qd = 15.5-6.37P+0.28T
Ed = 1.2165
Optimal price $2.75
Day | Sales per hour | Price | Avg Temp |
1 | 35.48231044 | 0.75 | 77 |
2 | 37.51390989 | 0.75 | 92 |
3 | 27.17147893 | 0.75 | 74 |
4 | 47.11264394 | 0.75 | 91 |
5 | 34.18324011 | 0.75 | 67 |
6 | 37.70236244 | 0.75 | 92 |
7 | 27.1739321 | 0.75 | 73 |
8 | 30.71232812 | 1.50 | 92 |
9 | 35.15889302 | 1.50 | 89 |
10 | 15.56099398 | 1.50 | 79 |
11 | 36.90965271 | 1.50 | 93 |
12 | 23.83763302 | 1.50 | 70 |
13 | 30.64738823 | 1.50 | 75 |
14 | 33.28797298 | 1.50 | 91 |
15 | 33.5143342 | 1.25 | 95 |
16 | 27.48251282 | 1.25 | 71 |
17 | 29.12145031 | 1.25 | 76 |
18 | 28.49203096 | 1.25 | 90 |
19 | 28.36338801 | 1.25 | 91 |
20 | 29.83442197 | 1.25 | 91 |
21 | 29.26281579 | 1.25 | 77 |
22 | 28.52834129 | 2.00 | 87 |
23 | 22.27569897 | 2.00 | 71 |
24 | 24.7841753 | 2.00 | 73 |
25 | 25.47952897 | 2.00 | 67 |
26 | 22.9915732 | 2.00 | 69 |
27 | 27.54980786 | 2.00 | 93 |
28 | 17.66385393 | 2.00 | 77 |
29 | 31.15956121 | 1.00 | 79 |
30 | 32.94684751 | 1.00 | 81 |
31 | 29.01196861 | 1.00 | 74 |
32 | 38.76114318 | 1.00 | 65 |
33 | 30.19883885 | 1.00 | 81 |
34 | 25.50967689 | 1.00 | 80 |
35 | 33.74756679 | 1.00 | 81 |
36 | 27.39747501 | 2.25 | 69 |
37 | 26.26791575 | 2.25 | 90 |
38 | 25.48903323 | 2.25 | 74 |
39 | 27.59115107 | 2.25 | 92 |
40 | 21.06925579 | 2.25 | 67 |
41 | 25.15206303 | 2.25 | 73 |
42 | 19.37086967 | 2.25 | 90 |
43 | 30.28304833 | 0.50 | 82 |
44 | 44.30487727 | 0.50 | 92 |
45 | 24.92568901 | 0.50 | 71 |
46 | 35.04766009 | 0.50 | 94 |
47 | 33.78114804 | 0.50 | 71 |
48 | 38.80032137 | 0.50 | 93 |
49 | 30.54274749 | 0.50 | 72 |
50 | 20.28263633 | 1.75 | 69 |
51 | 22.96570427 | 1.75 | 79 |
52 | 20.3302452 | 1.75 | 72 |
53 | 21.60395675 | 1.75 | 70 |
54 | 25.11430636 | 1.75 | 85 |
55 | 30.52999717 | 1.75 | 94 |
56 | 22.65649195 | 1.75 | 74 |
57 | 28.65130726 | 1.35 | 73 |
58 | 23.09405291 | 1.35 | 67 |
59 | 26.39602841 | 1.35 | 82 |
60 | 23.0192376 | 1.35 | 86 |
61 | 33.81767969 | 1.35 | 84 |
62 | 36.50744564 | 1.35 | 93 |
63 | 23.80027715 | 1.35 | 69 |
64 | 26.84482461 | 1.65 | 81 |
65 | 25.21751769 | 1.65 | 66 |
66 | 25.26372612 | 1.65 | 79 |
67 | 33.32423068 | 1.65 | 91 |
68 | 23.37374867 | 1.65 | 68 |
69 | 21.08156411 | 1.65 | 66 |
70 | 30.0944907 | 1.65 | 91 |