Based on a historical pre-election poll of likely U.S. voters, 47% of those polled said that they intended to vote for George W. Bush and 41% said they intended to vote for John Kerry. There was 95% margin of error of +/- 3% points for each estimate. Based on your knowledge of confidence intervals, you can determine that:

*the fourth answer in bold in incorrect. I got it wrong on my assignment*

John Kerry has no chance of winning the election.

The election is too close to call.

The probable winner will be John Kerry.

The probable winner will be George Bush.