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Based on the historical record, if you invest in long-term U.S. Treasury bonds, what is the approximate probability that your return will be below -6.3

Based on the historical record, if you invest in long-term U.S. Treasury bonds, what is the approximate probability that your return will be below -6.3 percent in a given year? What range of returns would you expect to see 95 percent of the time? 99 percent of the time?

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