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Basic Stock Valuation: Free Cash Flow Valuation Model The recognition that dividends are dependent on earnings, so a reliable dividend forecast is based on an
Basic Stock Valuation: Free Cash Flow Valuation Model
The recognition that dividends are dependent on earnings, so a reliable dividend forecast is based on an underlying forecast of the firm's future sales, costs and capital requirements, has led to an alternative stock valuation approach, known as the free cash flow valuation model. The market value of a firm is equal to the present value of its expected future free cash flows:
Free cash flows are generally forecasted for to years, after which it is assumed that the final forecasted free cash flow will grow at some longrun constant rate. Once the firm reaches its horizon date, when cash flows begin to grow at a constant rate, the equation to calculate the continuing value of the firm at that date is:
Discount the free cash flows back at the firm's weighted average cost of capital to arrive at the value of the firm today. Once the value of the firm is calculated, the market value of debt and preferred are subtracted to arrive at the market value of equity. The market value of equity is divided by the number of common shares outstanding to estimate the firm's intrinsic pershare value.
We present examples of the free cash flow valuation model. In the first problem, we assume that the firm is a mature company so its free cash flows grow at a constant rate. In the second problem, we assume that the firm has a period of nonconstant growth.
Quantitative Problem : Assume today is December Barrington Industries expects that its aftertax operating income EBIT T will be $ million and its depreciation expense will be $ million. Barrington's gross capital expenditures are expected to be $ million and the change in its net operating working capital for will be $ million. The firm's free cash flow is expected to grow at a constant rate of annually. Assume that its free cash flow occurs at the end of each year. The firm's weighted average cost of capital is ; the market value of the company's debt is $ billion; and the company has million shares of common stock outstanding. The firm has no preferred stock on its balance sheet and has no plans to use it for future capital budgeting projects. Using the free cash flow valuation model, what should be the company's stock price today December Round your answer to the nearest cent. Do not round intermediate calculations. Quantitative Problem : Hadley Inc. forecasts the yearend free cash flows in millions shown below.
Year
FCF $ $ $ $ $
The weighted average cost of capital is and the FCFs are expected to continue growing at a rate after Year The firm has $ million of marketvalue debt, but it has no preferred stock or any other outstanding claims. There are million shares outstanding. What is the value of the stock price today Year Round your answer to the nearest cent. Do not round intermediate calculations.
$
per share
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