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BHP Billiton, the leading Australian iron ore mining giant, is listed on New York Stock Exchange. The iron ore prices have almost doubled from $67.87

BHP Billiton, the leading Australian iron ore mining giant, is listed on New York Stock Exchange. The iron ore prices have almost doubled from $67.87 on 3 August 2018 to $123.16 on 3 July 2019. The following table shows BHP stock prices in $ and the annualised historical volatility (Vol.) of BHP, VIX Index, the iron ore prices in $ at given dates. For simplicity, we assume one price, i.e., no bid-ask spread.

Date

BHP stock price

Vol.(%)

VIX

Iron ore price

3 Jul 2019

58.93

19.5

12.6

123.16

3 Jun 2019

52.38

18.9

18.9

93.97

3 May 2019

52.81

17.1

12.9

89.15

3 Apr 2019

56.30

19.3

13.7

87.60

4 Mar 2019

52.79

16.4

14.6

78.98

4 Feb 2019

51.12

35.3

15.7

77.85

3 Jan 2019

46.39

33.9

16.4

74.30

3 Dec 2018

46.50

36.3

20.0

67.82

5 Nov 2018

48.40

32.4

14.2

74.17

4 Oct 2018

50.01

23.2

13.2

70.79

4 Sep 2018

47.24

27.6

11.6

68.28

3 Aug 2018

50.38

31.2

16.1

67.87

A European call option on BHP stock that expired on 3 Jan 2020 and had a strike price of $65 was traded at $1.46 on 3 July 2019. A European put option on BHP stock that expired on 3 Jan 2020 and had a strike price of $65 was traded at $8.55 on 3 July 2019. The annual risk-free rate of interest was 2.15%. Use discrete compounding if you need to compute semi-annual interest rate.

Show that there was an arbitrage opportunity with these options, then construct an arbitrage strategy

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