Question
BHP Billiton, the leading Australian iron ore mining giant, is listed on New York Stock Exchange. The iron ore prices have almost doubled from $67.87
BHP Billiton, the leading Australian iron ore mining giant, is listed on New York Stock Exchange. The iron ore prices have almost doubled from $67.87 on 3 August 2018 to $123.16 on 3 July 2019. The following table shows BHP stock prices in $ and the annualised historical volatility (Vol.) of BHP, VIX Index, the iron ore prices in $ at given dates. For simplicity, we assume one price, i.e., no bid-ask spread.
Date | BHP stock price | Vol.(%) | VIX | Iron ore price |
3 Jul 2019 | 58.93 | 19.5 | 12.6 | 123.16 |
3 Jun 2019 | 52.38 | 18.9 | 18.9 | 93.97 |
3 May 2019 | 52.81 | 17.1 | 12.9 | 89.15 |
3 Apr 2019 | 56.30 | 19.3 | 13.7 | 87.60 |
4 Mar 2019 | 52.79 | 16.4 | 14.6 | 78.98 |
4 Feb 2019 | 51.12 | 35.3 | 15.7 | 77.85 |
3 Jan 2019 | 46.39 | 33.9 | 16.4 | 74.30 |
3 Dec 2018 | 46.50 | 36.3 | 20.0 | 67.82 |
5 Nov 2018 | 48.40 | 32.4 | 14.2 | 74.17 |
4 Oct 2018 | 50.01 | 23.2 | 13.2 | 70.79 |
4 Sep 2018 | 47.24 | 27.6 | 11.6 | 68.28 |
3 Aug 2018 | 50.38 | 31.2 | 16.1 | 67.87 |
A European call option on BHP stock that expired on 3 Jan 2020 and had a strike price of $65 was traded at $1.46 on 3 July 2019. A European put option on BHP stock that expired on 3 Jan 2020 and had a strike price of $65 was traded at $8.55 on 3 July 2019. The annual risk-free rate of interest was 2.15%. Use discrete compounding if you need to compute semi-annual interest rate.
Show that there was an arbitrage opportunity with these options, then construct an arbitrage strategy
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