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Blockbuster: PV = $ 1 . 5 billion with 5 % probability; Above average: PV = $ 7 0 0 million with 2 0 %

Blockbuster: PV=$1.5 billion with 5% probability;
Above average: PV=$700 million with 20% probability;
Average: PV=$300 million with 40% probability;
Below Average: PV=$100 million with 25% probability;
Dog: PV=$40 million with 10% probability;
Assume the cost of capital remains at 9.6%.
a. What is the NPV at the beginning of Phase III? Answer this question in $ million and keep two decimal places.
b1. What is the NPV at the beginning of Phase II? Answer this question in $ million and keep two decimal places.
b2. Is the $18 million investment in phase II trials still positive?

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