Question
Bloopers analysts have come up with the following revised estimates for its magnoosium mine: Range Pessimistic Optimistic Initial investment +45% 25% Revenues 15% +25% Variable
Bloopers analysts have come up with the following revised estimates for its magnoosium mine: Range Pessimistic Optimistic Initial investment +45% 25% Revenues 15% +25% Variable costs, percent of revenues +25% 25% Fixed costs +20% 25% Working capital, percent of expected value +20% 30% Conduct a sensitivity analysis for each variable and range and compute the NPV for each. Use Spreadsheet 10.1 and accompanying data as a starting point for the analysis. Note: Do not round intermediate calculations. Negative amounts should be indicated by a minus sign. Enter your answer in millions rounded to 2 decimal places.
SPREADSHEET 10.1 Financial projections for Blooper's Magnoosium mine (dollar values in millions) | |||||||
A. Inputs | |||||||
Initial investment | 150 | ||||||
Salvage value | 20 | ||||||
Initial revenues | 150 | ||||||
Variable costs (% of revenues) | 40.0% | ||||||
Initial fixed costs | 40 | ||||||
Inflation rate (%) | 5.0% | ||||||
Discount rate (%) | 12.0% | ||||||
Receivables (% of sales) | 16.7% | ||||||
Inventory (% of next year's costs) | 15.0% | ||||||
Tax rate (%) | 21.0% | ||||||
Year: | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
B. Capital Investments | |||||||
Investments in fixed assets | 150.00 | ||||||
Sales of fixed assets | 15.80 | ||||||
Cash flow investment in fixed assets | -150.00 | 15.80 | |||||
C. Operating cash flow | |||||||
Revenues | 150.00 | 157.50 | 165.38 | 173.64 | 182.33 | ||
Variable expenses | 60.00 | 63.00 | 66.15 | 69.46 | 72.93 | ||
Fixed expenses | 40.00 | 42.00 | 44.10 | 46.31 | 48.62 | ||
Depreciation | 30.00 | 30.00 | 30.00 | 30.00 | 30.00 | ||
Pretax profit | 20.00 | 22.50 | 25.13 | 27.88 | 30.78 | ||
Tax | 4.20 | 4.73 | 5.28 | 5.86 | 6.46 | ||
Profit after tax | 15.80 | 17.78 | 19.85 | 22.03 | 24.31 | ||
Operating cash flow | 45.80 | 47.78 | 49.85 | 52.03 | 54.31 | ||
D. Working capital | |||||||
Working capital | 15.00 | 40.75 | 42.79 | 44.93 | 47.17 | 30.39 | 0.00 |
Change in working capital | 15.00 | 25.75 | 2.04 | 2.14 | 2.25 | -16.79 | -30.39 |
Cash flow from investment in working capital | -15.00 | -25.75 | -2.04 | -2.14 | -2.25 | 16.79 | 30.39 |
0.408 | 0.408 | 0.408 | 0.408 | 0.250 | |||
E. Project valuation | |||||||
Total project cash flow | -165.00 | 20.05 | 45.74 | 47.71 | 49.78 | 71.10 | 46.19 |
Discount factor | 1.00 | 0.8929 | 0.7972 | 0.7118 | 0.6355 | 0.5674 | 0.5066 |
PV of cash flow | -165.00 | 17.90 | 36.46 | 33.96 | 31.64 | 40.34 | 23.40 |
Net present value | 18.70 |
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