Question
Brandt Enterprises is considering a new project that has a cost of $1,000,000, and the CFO conducted a scenario analysis before presenting the project to
Brandt Enterprises is considering a new project that has a cost of $1,000,000, and the CFO
conducted a scenario analysis before presenting the project to board of directors.
| Probability | NPV |
|
Best Case | 20% | $187.62 |
|
Most Likely | 60% | $155.86 |
|
Worst Case | 20% | -296.90 |
|
|
| = $46.57 | = Exp. NPV |
|
| 186.4 | = Standard Deviation |
As the assistant to CFO, what is your analysis of the result of scenario analysis? How is the risk level of this project compared to prior projects given the average CV (coefficient of variation) of prior projects of the company is between 2.5 and 3. Given the scenario analysis result, what do you suggest do the next step with regard to the project?
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