Question
Bulloch County has never allowed liquor to be sold in restaurants. However, in 3 months, county residents are scheduled to vote on a referendum to
Bulloch County has never allowed liquor to be sold in restaurants. However, in 3 months, county residents are scheduled to vote on a referendum to allow liquor to be sold by the drink. Currently, polls indicate there is a 60% chance that the referendum will be passed by voters. Phil Jackson is a local real estate speculator who is eyeing a closed restaurant building that is scheduled to be sold at a sealed bid auction. Phil estimates that if he bids $1.25 million, there is a 25% chance he will obtain the property; if he bids $1.45 million, there is a 45% chance he will obtain the property; and if he bids $1.85 million, there is an 85% chance he will obtain the property. If he acquires the property and the referendum passes, Phil believes he could then sell the restaurant for $2.2 million. However, if the referendum fails, he believes he could sell the property for only $1.15 million.
Develop decision tree Plan for this problem
B) What is the optimal decision for this problem and why?
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