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c. Perform a scenario analysis on this projection. How does R&Es projected external financing require change if a severe recession occurs in 2016? Assume net
c. Perform a scenario analysis on this projection. How does R&Es projected external financing require change if a severe recession occurs in 2016? Assume net sales decline 5 percent, cost of goods sold rises to 88 percent of net sales due to price cutting, and current assets increase to 35 percent of net sales as management fails to cut purchases promptly in response to declining sales.
Year | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 |
Net sales | $ 20,613 | $ 25,766 | $ 30,920 |
Growth rate in sales | 25% | 20% | |
Cost of goods sold/net sales | 86% | 88% | |
Gen., sell,, and admin. expenses/net sales | 12% | 11% | |
Long-term debt | $ 760 | $ 660 | $ 560 |
Current portion long-term debt | $ 100 | $ 100 | $ 100 |
Interest rate | 10% | 10% | |
Tax rate | 45% | 45% | |
Dividend/earnings after tax | 50% | 50% | |
Current assets/net sales | 29% | 35% | |
Net fixed assets | $ 280 | $ 270 | |
Current liabilities/net sales | 14.5% | 14.4% | |
Owners' equity | $ 1,730 | ||
INCOME STATEMENT | |||
Year | 2014 | Forecast 2015 | 2016 |
Net sales | $ 25,766 | $ 30,920 | |
Cost of good sold | 22,159 | 27,209 | |
Gross profit | 3,607 | 3,710 | |
Gen., sell,, and admin. exp. | 3,092 | 3,401 | |
Interest expense | 231 | 498 | |
Earnings before tax | 284 | (189) | |
Tax | 128 | (85) | |
Earnings after tax | 156 | (104) | |
Dividends paid | 78 | (52) | |
Additions to retained earnings | 78 | (52) | |
BALANCE SHEET | |||
Current assets | $ 7,472 | $ 10,822 | |
Net fixed assets | 280 | 270 | |
Total assets | 7,752 | 11,092 | |
Current liabilities | 3,736 | 4,452 | |
Long-term debt | 660 | 560 | |
Equity | 1,808 | 1,756 | |
Total liabilities and shareholders' equity | 6,204 | 6,769 | |
EXTERNAL FUNDING REQUIRED | $ 1,548 | $ 4,323 |
Formulsa for 2016
=C5*(1+D6) |
=D20*D7 |
=D20-D21 |
=D8*D20 |
498 |
=D22-D23-D24 |
=D12*D25 |
=D25-D26 |
=D13*D27 |
=D27-D28 |
=D14*D20 |
=D15 |
=D31+D32 |
=D16*D20 |
=D9 |
=C36+D29 |
=D34+D35+D36 |
=D33-D37 |
Something is wrong I dont know were the issues is.
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